Ag Informer – US Exports Forecasted Down

On Wednesday, the USDA released its Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade, a quarterly report from the Department’s Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) and Economic Research Service (ERS). Today’s update includes highlights from the report, which was coordinated by Bart Kenner, Hui Jiang, Dylan Russell and James Kaufman.

The Outlook stated that, “U.S. agricultural exports in fiscal year (FY) 2023 are forecast at $181.0 billion, down $3.5 billion from the February forecast. This revision is driven by decreases in corn, wheat, beef, and poultry exports.”

The Outlook also noted that corn exports are forecast $2.1 billion lower to $14.5 billion on lower unit values and volumes as Brazil is poised to harvest a record second crop corn.

“Wheat exports are projected down $900 million to $7.4 billion due to lower volumes and unit values, as well as increased competition. Overall grain and feed exports are projected $3.3 billion lower at $40.5 billion.”

“Soybean exports are projected up $300 million to $32.3 billion on slightly higher volumes.”

FAS-ERS pointed out that, “Brazil is forecast to have a record production for its upcoming safrinha crop, to be harvested starting in June 2023, which has eased global prices and made Brazil’s corn more price competitive than U.S. corn.”

The Outlook added that, “U.S. wheat export volumes are forecast down significantly due to smaller-than-expected winter wheat production for 2023/24 on higher acreage abandonment and reduced yields amidst drought conditions. U.S. wheat exports also face increased competition in Western Hemisphere markets from regional competitors Canada and Argentina.”

To read the entire report click here.

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